Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tokyo Verdy win with a probability of 36.84%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tokyo Verdy win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Tokyo Verdy	Draw	Albirex Niigata
36.84% ( 0)	27.55% ( -0)	35.61% ( 0)

Both teams to score 49.17% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.46% (

0.01)

56.54% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.47% (

77.53% (

-0)

Tokyo Verdy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.5% (

29.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.49% (

65.51%

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.75% (

30.25% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.58% (

0.01)

66.42% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Tokyo Verdy 36.83%

Albirex Niigata 35.61%

Draw 27.54%

Tokyo Verdy	Draw	Albirex Niigata
1-0 @ 10.89% 2-1 @ 7.95% 2-0 @ 6.65% 3-1 @ 3.24% 3-0 @ 2.71% 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.47% Total : 36.83%	1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 8.92% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.54%	0-1 @ 10.66% 1-2 @ 7.79% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.38% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.1% 0-3 @ 2.54% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.89% 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 35.61%