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J1 League | Gameweek 32
Nov 11, 2023 at 5am UK
Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata
0 - 0
FC Tokyo


Hoshi (23'), Fitzgerald (32')
FT

Matsuki (44'), Koizumi (50')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and FC Tokyo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, October 28 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-2 Hiroshima
Saturday, October 28 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Albirex NiigataDrawFC Tokyo
46.21% (-0.897 -0.9) 25.15% (0.227 0.23) 28.64% (0.671 0.67)
Both teams to score 54.33% (-0.258 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.17% (-0.558 -0.56)48.83% (0.558 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.07% (-0.509 -0.51)70.93% (0.50800000000001 0.51)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.84% (-0.61800000000001 -0.62)21.15% (0.618 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.99% (-0.969 -0.97)54.01% (0.969 0.97)
FC Tokyo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.91% (0.211 0.21)31.09% (-0.211 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.59% (0.247 0.25)67.41% (-0.246 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Albirex Niigata 46.2%
    FC Tokyo 28.64%
    Draw 25.15%
Albirex NiigataDrawFC Tokyo
1-0 @ 10.21% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.27% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
2-0 @ 7.93% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-1 @ 4.8% (-0.136 -0.14)
3-0 @ 4.11% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.86% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.6% (-0.087 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 46.2%
1-1 @ 11.93% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 6.58% (0.149 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 7.68% (0.217 0.22)
1-2 @ 6.97% (0.108 0.11)
0-2 @ 4.49% (0.153 0.15)
1-3 @ 2.72% (0.057 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.75% (0.069 0.07)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 28.64%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, October 28 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-1 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, October 21 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 2-3 Albirex Niigata
Friday, September 29 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 3-1 Yokohama FC
Saturday, September 23 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-1 Albirex Niigata
Sunday, September 17 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-1 Urawa
Saturday, September 2 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-2 Hiroshima
Saturday, October 28 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama FC 1-0 FC Tokyo
Saturday, October 21 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 3-0 Gamba Osaka
Sunday, October 1 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 3-2 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, September 23 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Kawasaki 1-0 FC Tokyo
Friday, September 15 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: FC Tokyo 1-2 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, September 3 at 11am in J1 League


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