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J1 League | Gameweek 3
Mar 9, 2024 at 5am UK
Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata
1 - 0
Nagoya Grampus

Hasegawa (88')
Arai (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Nagai (29')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Albirex Niigata and Nagoya Grampus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-0 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, March 2 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-1 Machida Zelvia
Saturday, March 2 at 5am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Albirex NiigataDrawNagoya Grampus
32.06% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 27.46%40.48% (0.014999999999993 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.84% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.32% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)56.68% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.36% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)77.64% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.32% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)32.68% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.77% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)69.23% (0.012 0.01)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)27.45% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.06% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)62.94% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Albirex Niigata 32.06%
    Nagoya Grampus 40.48%
    Draw 27.45%
Albirex NiigataDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 10.03%
2-1 @ 7.25% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 5.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.09% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 32.06%
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 8.97%
2-2 @ 4.69%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.45%
0-1 @ 11.59%
1-2 @ 8.38% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 7.5% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 3.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.02%
1-4 @ 1.17%
0-4 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 40.48%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-0 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, March 2 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-2 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, February 24 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-0 Cerezo
Sunday, December 3 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 0-0 Albirex Niigata
Friday, November 24 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 0-0 FC Tokyo
Saturday, November 11 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, October 28 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-1 Machida Zelvia
Saturday, March 2 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 0-3 Kashima Antlers
Friday, February 23 at 9am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Reysol
Sunday, December 3 at 5.45am in J1 League
Last Game: Vissel Kobe 2-1 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, November 25 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Shonan Bellmare 2-1 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, November 11 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Sagan Tosu
Friday, October 27 at 11am in J1 League


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