Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 1-0 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Albirex Niigata	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
32.06% ( -0.01)	27.46%	40.48% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 48.84% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.32% (

-0)

56.68% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.36% (

-0)

77.64% (

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.32% (

-0.01)

32.68% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.77% (

-0.01)

69.23% (

0.01)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.55% (

0.01)

27.45% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.06% (

0.01)

62.94% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Albirex Niigata 32.06%

Nagoya Grampus 40.48%

Draw 27.45%

Albirex Niigata	Draw	Nagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 10.03% 2-1 @ 7.25% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.61% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.71% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.09% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 32.06%	1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 8.97% 2-2 @ 4.69% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.45%	0-1 @ 11.59% 1-2 @ 8.38% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.5% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.23% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.02% 1-4 @ 1.17% 0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 40.48%