Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Sagan Tosu has a probability of 33.81% and a draw has a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win is 1-0 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.34%).

Result
Sagan Tosu	Draw	Albirex Niigata
33.81% ( 0.19)	25.98% ( 0.04)	40.21% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 53.92% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.58% (

-0.15)

50.41% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.65% (

-0.13)

72.35% (

0.13)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.62% (

0.05)

28.37% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.88% (

0.06)

64.12% (

-0.06)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.28% (

-0.19)

24.72% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.73% (

-0.26)

59.26% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Sagan Tosu 33.81%

Albirex Niigata 40.21%

Draw 25.98%

Sagan Tosu	Draw	Albirex Niigata
1-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 33.81%	1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.98%	0-1 @ 9.8% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.63% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.85% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.66% Total : 40.21%