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J1 League | Gameweek 2
Mar 2, 2024 at 6am UK
Nishigaoka National Stadium

Gamba Osaka
1 - 0
Albirex Niigata

Usami (75' pen.)
Kishimoto (58'), Ichimori (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Gamba Osaka and Albirex Niigata.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Machida Zelvia 1-1 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, February 24 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-2 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, February 24 at 5am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albirex Niigata win with a probability of 37.43%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Gamba OsakaDrawAlbirex Niigata
36.33% (0.344 0.34) 26.24% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 37.43% (-0.301 -0.3)
Both teams to score 53.43% (0.17 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.8% (0.209 0.21)51.19% (-0.208 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.96% (0.183 0.18)73.03% (-0.17999999999999 -0.18)
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.77% (0.30200000000001 0.3)27.22% (-0.3 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.35% (0.39 0.39)62.64% (-0.39 -0.39)
Albirex Niigata Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.41% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)26.58% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.19% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)61.8% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Gamba Osaka 36.33%
    Albirex Niigata 37.43%
    Draw 26.23%
Gamba OsakaDrawAlbirex Niigata
1-0 @ 9.42% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 8.12% (0.054 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.13% (0.052 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.52% (0.053 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.66% (0.045 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.33% (0.031 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 36.33%
1-1 @ 12.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.24% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.025 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.23%
0-1 @ 9.59% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 8.26% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.35% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.65% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.81% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.21% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 37.43%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 1-1 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, February 24 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 0-1 Vissel Kobe
Sunday, December 3 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Hiroshima 3-0 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, November 25 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-2 Avispa Fukuoka
Saturday, November 11 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 1-0 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, October 28 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 0-1 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, October 21 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Sagan Tosu 1-2 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, February 24 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-0 Cerezo
Sunday, December 3 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Yokohama 0-0 Albirex Niigata
Friday, November 24 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 0-0 FC Tokyo
Saturday, November 11 at 5am in J1 League
Last Game: Kyoto Sanga 0-1 Albirex Niigata
Saturday, October 28 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Albirex Niigata 1-1 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, October 21 at 5am in J1 League


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