Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 50.84%. A win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 26.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Tokyo Verdy win was 2-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Yokohama F Marinos in this match.
-0.02) 
0.13) 
