Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.
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