SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Avispa Fukuoka | Draw | Yokohama F Marinos |
35.16% ( -0.08) | 24.67% ( -0) | 40.16% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 58.73% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.68% ( 0) | 44.31% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.31% ( 0) | 66.69% ( -0) |
| Avispa Fukuoka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.34% ( -0.05) | 24.66% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.81% ( -0.06) | 59.18% ( 0.06) |
| Yokohama F Marinos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.96% ( 0.04) | 22.04% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.62% ( 0.06) | 55.37% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Avispa Fukuoka | Draw | Yokohama F Marinos |
| 2-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.49% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0)4-2 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 35.16% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.44% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.67% | 1-2 @ 8.7% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.39% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.07% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 40.16% |
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