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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 46.77%. A win for Incheon United had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Incheon United win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Incheon United | Draw | Yokohama F Marinos |
29.57% ( -0.02) | 23.65% ( 0.02) | 46.77% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 60.04% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.38% ( -0.09) | 41.62% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.98% ( -0.09) | 64.02% ( 0.1) |
| Incheon United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.24% ( -0.06) | 26.76% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.96% ( -0.08) | 62.04% ( 0.09) |
| Yokohama F Marinos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.98% ( -0.03) | 18.03% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.09% ( -0.05) | 48.91% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Incheon United | Draw | Yokohama F Marinos |
| 2-1 @ 7.18% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.19% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.84% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 3.1% Total : 29.57% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.65% | 1-2 @ 9.33% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.33% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.04% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.28% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.73% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.68% Total : 46.77% |
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