SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Vissel Kobe had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.98%) and 2-0 (5.49%). The likeliest Vissel Kobe win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Yokohama F Marinos | Draw | Vissel Kobe |
43.88% ( 0.86) | 22.39% ( -0.08) | 33.73% ( -0.78) |
| Both teams to score 66.87% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.47% ( 0.16) | 33.53% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.67% ( 0.19) | 55.33% ( -0.19) |
| Yokohama F Marinos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.03% ( 0.39) | 15.97% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.73% ( 0.72) | 45.27% ( -0.72) |
| Vissel Kobe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.58% ( -0.32) | 20.42% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.14% ( -0.51) | 52.86% ( 0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Yokohama F Marinos | Draw | Vissel Kobe |
| 2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.07)4-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.82% Total : 43.88% | 1-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 2.24% ( 0)Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.39% | 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 5.18% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 4% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.99% Total : 33.73% |
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