Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 55.33%. A win for Herediano had a probability of 22.79% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.44%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Herediano win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Herediano
55.33% ( 0.36)	21.87% ( -0.07)	22.79% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 59.64% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.82% (

-0.01)

39.17% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.49% (

-0.01)

61.5% (

0.01)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.89% (

0.11)

14.11% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.26% (

0.22)

41.74% (

-0.22)

Herediano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.44% (

-0.25)

30.56% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.21% (

-0.3)

66.79% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

Toluca 55.33%

Herediano 22.79%

Draw 21.87%

Toluca	Draw	Herediano
2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.44% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.34% Total : 55.33%	1-1 @ 10.01% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.31% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.87%	1-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.88% Total : 22.79%