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Serie A | Gameweek 30
Apr 16, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
S

Torino
1 - 1
Salernitana

Sanabria (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vilhena (9')
Gyomber (68')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 0-1 Roma
Saturday, April 8 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Torino 1-1 Salernitana

While a sixth draw on the bounce for Salernitana seems improbable, they find the net regularly and Torino usually keep things tight against the league's lesser lights. Therefore, a low-scoring stalemate could be on the cards - not exactly a satisfactory result for either side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 52.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 21.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
TorinoDrawSalernitana
52.85% (-0.603 -0.6) 25.6% (0.173 0.17) 21.55% (0.429 0.43)
Both teams to score 46.3% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.94% (-0.195 -0.2)56.06% (0.194 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.86% (-0.159 -0.16)77.13% (0.157 0.16)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.74% (-0.328 -0.33)21.25% (0.327 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.83% (-0.51000000000001 -0.51)54.17% (0.509 0.51)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.79% (0.336 0.34)41.21% (-0.337 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.26% (0.297 0.3)77.74% (-0.297 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Torino 52.85%
    Salernitana 21.55%
    Draw 25.59%
TorinoDrawSalernitana
1-0 @ 13.56% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 10.5% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.42% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-1 @ 4.81% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.1% (-0.069 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.86% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 52.85%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 8.76% (0.065 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.13% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 25.59%
0-1 @ 7.77% (0.128 0.13)
1-2 @ 5.33% (0.083 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.44% (0.088 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.58% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.22% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.02% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 21.55%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Torino 0-1 Roma
Saturday, April 8 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-1 Torino
Monday, April 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 0-4 Napoli
Sunday, March 19 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 0-2 Torino
Sunday, March 12 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 1-0 Bologna
Monday, March 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 4-2 Torino
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 1-1 Inter Milan
Friday, April 7 at 4pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 1-1 Salernitana
Sunday, April 2 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 2-2 Bologna
Saturday, March 18 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 1-1 Salernitana
Monday, March 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 0-0 Salernitana
Sunday, March 5 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 3-0 Monza
Sunday, February 26 at 2pm in Serie A


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