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Serie A | Gameweek 26
Mar 12, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
TL

Lecce
0 - 2
Torino


Gonzalez (28'), Espeto (32'), Hjulmand (44')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Singo (20'), Sanabria (23')
Buongiorno (29'), Ilic (32'), Milinkovic-Savic (32')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Lecce
Sunday, March 5 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 1-0 Bologna
Monday, March 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 1-1 Torino

Torino have struggled to put a good run of results together all season and have frequently dropped points against sides near the bottom. For Lecce, any points will be vital now as they aim to ease themselves away from trouble to a mid-table finish. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Torino had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
LecceDrawTorino
41.97% (-0.702 -0.7) 26.67% (-0.25 -0.25) 31.36% (0.957 0.96)
Both teams to score 50.97% (1.158 1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.15% (1.299 1.3)53.85% (-1.295 -1.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.69% (1.081 1.08)75.32% (-1.077 -1.08)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.65% (0.22800000000001 0.23)25.36% (-0.223 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.86% (0.31 0.31)60.15% (-0.305 -0.31)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.29% (1.351 1.35)31.72% (-1.346 -1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.87% (1.524 1.52)68.14% (-1.52 -1.52)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 41.97%
    Torino 31.36%
    Draw 26.67%
LecceDrawTorino
1-0 @ 11.03% (-0.5 -0.5)
2-1 @ 8.69% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.57% (-0.289 -0.29)
3-1 @ 3.98% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.46% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.095 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 41.97%
1-1 @ 12.67% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 8.04% (-0.416 -0.42)
2-2 @ 4.99% (0.178 0.18)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.67%
0-1 @ 9.23% (-0.126 -0.13)
1-2 @ 7.28% (0.214 0.21)
0-2 @ 5.3% (0.123 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.79% (0.18 0.18)
0-3 @ 2.03% (0.119 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.135 0.14)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 31.36%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Lecce
Sunday, March 5 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 0-1 Sassuolo
Saturday, February 25 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 1-2 Lecce
Sunday, February 19 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Roma
Saturday, February 11 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cremonese 0-2 Lecce
Saturday, February 4 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-2 Salernitana
Friday, January 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 1-0 Bologna
Monday, March 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 4-2 Torino
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 2-2 Cremonese
Monday, February 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Torino
Friday, February 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 1-0 Udinese
Sunday, February 5 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Torino
Wednesday, February 1 at 5pm in Coppa Italia


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