Torino have conceded only eight goals at home, so Napoli's path to win 23 of the Serie A season is far from straightforward. As the Granata's defence generally stands firm under Ivan Juric, it could take a moment of magic to prise them open - but the Scudetto favourites are certainly capable of producing one of those.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 56.41%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Torino had a probability of 19.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.22%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Torino win it was 1-0 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
0.1) 
-0.25) 
