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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Apr 7, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stadio Arechi
IL

Salernitana
1 - 1
Inter Milan

Candreva (90')
Coulibaly (38'), Nicolussi (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gosens (6')
de Vrij (34'), Gagliardini (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 1-1 Salernitana
Sunday, April 2 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Salernitana 1-1 Inter Milan

Lacking fluency in the final third, Inter may find their winless run prolonged down in Salerno, as their hosts have not lost since February and offer a goal threat themselves. Pressure is growing on Inzaghi - particularly with several high-profile coaches available in the summer - and he is starting to show the strain. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 71.6%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 11.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.36%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.2%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (3.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
SalernitanaDrawInter Milan
11.11% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 17.28% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 71.6% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Both teams to score 49.27% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.03% (0.010999999999996 0.01)39.97% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.67% (0.010999999999996 0.01)62.33% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.66% (0.0049999999999955 0)45.33% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.8% (0.004999999999999 0)81.2% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.13% (0.0010000000000048 0)9.87% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.27% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)32.73% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 11.11%
    Inter Milan 71.6%
    Draw 17.28%
SalernitanaDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 3.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-1 @ 3.24%
2-0 @ 1.4%
3-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 11.11%
1-1 @ 8.2% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 4.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 3.75%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 17.28%
0-2 @ 11.99%
0-1 @ 10.36%
1-2 @ 9.49%
0-3 @ 9.26%
1-3 @ 7.33% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-4 @ 5.36% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-4 @ 4.24% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 2.9% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-5 @ 2.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 1.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.68% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-6 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 71.6%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Spezia 1-1 Salernitana
Sunday, April 2 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 2-2 Bologna
Saturday, March 18 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 1-1 Salernitana
Monday, March 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 0-0 Salernitana
Sunday, March 5 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 3-0 Monza
Sunday, February 26 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 0-2 Lazio
Sunday, February 19 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 1-1 Inter Milan
Tuesday, April 4 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Inter Milan 0-1 Fiorentina
Saturday, April 1 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 0-1 Juventus
Sunday, March 19 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Porto 0-0 Inter Milan
Tuesday, March 14 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Spezia 2-1 Inter Milan
Friday, March 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Lecce
Sunday, March 5 at 5pm in Serie A


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