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TL
Serie A | Gameweek 29
Apr 8, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
RL

Torino
0 - 1
Roma


Schuurs (7'), Gineitis (78'), Milinkovic-Savic (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dybala (8' pen.)
El Shaarawy (11')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sassuolo 1-1 Torino
Monday, April 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 3-0 Sampdoria
Sunday, April 2 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Torino 0-1 Roma

The input of two tactically astute coaches is likely to result in a low-scoring game, with perhaps a single goal deciding the outcome. While the distraction of a European quarter-final looms large, Roma are back to full strength and boast more individual ability up front, so three more points could be coming their way. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 35.64%. A win for Torino had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.4%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (12.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Roma in this match.

Result
TorinoDrawRoma
35.22% (-0.228 -0.23) 29.14% (0.056000000000001 0.06) 35.64% (0.171 0.17)
Both teams to score 44.48% (-0.16 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.7% (-0.194 -0.19)62.29% (0.193 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.05% (-0.142 -0.14)81.95% (0.143 0.14)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.56% (-0.252 -0.25)33.44% (0.251 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.93% (-0.278 -0.28)70.07% (0.279 0.28)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.84% (0.012 0.01)33.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.23% (0.013000000000002 0.01)69.77% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Torino 35.21%
    Roma 35.64%
    Draw 29.13%
TorinoDrawRoma
1-0 @ 12.14%
2-1 @ 7.34% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.65% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.68% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.43% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.48% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 35.21%
1-1 @ 13.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.09% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 29.13%
0-1 @ 12.24% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 7.4% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.76% (0.053 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.49% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 35.64%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-1 Torino
Monday, April 3 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 0-4 Napoli
Sunday, March 19 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 0-2 Torino
Sunday, March 12 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 1-0 Bologna
Monday, March 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 4-2 Torino
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 2-2 Cremonese
Monday, February 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 3-0 Sampdoria
Sunday, April 2 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Roma
Sunday, March 19 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Real Sociedad 0-0 Roma
Thursday, March 16 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Roma 3-4 Sassuolo
Sunday, March 12 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 2-0 Real Sociedad
Thursday, March 9 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Juventus
Sunday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A


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