SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for Dinamo Brest had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Dinamo Brest win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torpedo-BelAZ would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Torpedo-BelAZ | Draw | Dinamo Brest |
44.42% ( -0.14) | 26.67% ( 0.05) | 28.91% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 49.79% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.18% ( -0.17) | 54.82% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.88% ( -0.14) | 76.12% ( 0.14) |
| Torpedo-BelAZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.45% ( -0.14) | 24.55% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.97% ( -0.2) | 59.03% ( 0.2) |
| Dinamo Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.99% ( -0.03) | 34.01% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.31% ( -0.03) | 70.69% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torpedo-BelAZ | Draw | Dinamo Brest |
| 1-0 @ 11.72% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 44.41% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.67% | 0-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.45% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.31% Total : 28.91% |
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