SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Dinamo Brest had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Dinamo Brest win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Torpedo-BelAZ | Draw | Dinamo Brest |
45.9% ( -0.76) | 25.7% ( 0.33) | 28.4% ( 0.43) |
| Both teams to score 52.44% ( -0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.76% ( -1.1) | 51.23% ( 1.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.93% ( -0.97) | 73.07% ( 0.97) |
| Torpedo-BelAZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.7% ( -0.8) | 22.29% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.24% ( -1.22) | 55.76% ( 1.22) |
| Dinamo Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.49% ( -0.25) | 32.51% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.96% ( -0.28) | 69.04% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torpedo-BelAZ | Draw | Dinamo Brest |
| 1-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.22% Total : 45.89% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.31)2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 2.57% 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.6% Total : 28.4% |
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