SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 39.89%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Torquay United | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
39.89% ( 0.67) | 24.52% ( 0.04) | 35.59% ( -0.71) |
| Both teams to score 59.37% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.49% ( -0.26) | 43.51% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.09% ( -0.26) | 65.91% ( 0.26) |
| Torquay United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.17% ( 0.21) | 21.83% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.95% ( 0.33) | 55.05% ( -0.33) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.95% ( -0.5) | 24.05% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.68% ( -0.72) | 58.32% ( 0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torquay United | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.51% Total : 39.89% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.51% | 1-2 @ 8.11% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.03% Total : 35.59% |
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