SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.35%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hartlepool United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Hartlepool United |
32.4% ( 0.58) | 23.42% ( 0.31) | 44.18% ( -0.89) |
| Both teams to score 62.45% ( -0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.9% ( -1.27) | 39.1% ( 1.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.57% ( -1.34) | 61.42% ( 1.34) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.22% ( -0.28) | 23.78% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.07% ( -0.4) | 57.93% ( 0.39) |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.93% ( -0.86) | 18.07% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.02% ( -1.49) | 48.98% ( 1.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 2-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.31)2-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.93% Total : 32.4% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.25)3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.41% | 1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 5.15% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 2.2% ( -0.14)2-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.11)0-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.75% Total : 44.18% |
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