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National League | Gameweek 35
Apr 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Grosvenor Vale

Wealdstone
4 - 2
Dorking

Barrett (57'), Kretzschmar (70', 73' pen.), Allarakhia (77')
Henry (64'), Allarakhia (67'), Allarakhia (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Barker (46' og.), Carter (54')
Cook (65')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wealdstone 1-2 Southend
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Dorking 0-0 Altrincham
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League

We said: Wealdstone 1-1 Dorking Wanderers

Both teams will be desperate to claim the spoils in this crucial relegation six-pointer, but with the two sides finding wins hard to come by, we think that they could end up playing out a draw at Grosvenor Vale. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 49.81%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wealdstone would win this match.

Result
WealdstoneDrawDorking Wanderers
49.81% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 23.31% (-0.087 -0.09) 26.88% (0.061 0.06)
Both teams to score 59.15% (0.352 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.13% (0.439 0.44)41.86% (-0.441 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.73% (0.44 0.44)64.27% (-0.443 -0.44)
Wealdstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.04% (0.173 0.17)16.96% (-0.175 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.95% (0.307 0.31)47.05% (-0.308 -0.31)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.23% (0.27600000000001 0.28)28.77% (-0.277 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.39% (0.34 0.34)64.61% (-0.342 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Wealdstone 49.81%
    Dorking Wanderers 26.88%
    Draw 23.3%
WealdstoneDrawDorking Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 8.66% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-0 @ 7.68% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.66% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.54% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.53% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.51% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.02% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.56% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 49.81%
1-1 @ 10.78% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.96% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.88% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.3%
1-2 @ 6.72% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.08% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.79% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.79% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.037 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 26.88%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Wealdstone 1-2 Southend
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Boreham Wood 4-0 Wealdstone
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wealdstone 0-1 Solihull
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Oxford City 1-0 Wealdstone
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Altrincham 4-1 Wealdstone
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Wealdstone 1-1 Kidderminster
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dorking 0-0 Altrincham
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 1-1 Dorking
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dorking 0-2 Bromley
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Barnet 6-0 Dorking
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dorking 1-1 Solihull
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 2-0 Dorking
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League


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