Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s win with a probability of 52.07%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.41%) and 2-0 (5.3%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s would win this match.
Result | ||
Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
52.07% ( 1.03) | 20.19% ( -0.26) | 27.73% ( -0.77) |
Both teams to score 71.64% ( 0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.07% ( 0.72) | 25.92% ( -0.71) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.88% ( 0.92) | 46.11% ( -0.91) |
Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.4% ( 0.53) | 10.59% ( -0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.62% ( 1.16) | 34.38% ( -1.16) |
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.13% ( -0.05) | 19.87% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.02% ( -0.09) | 51.98% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.1) 4-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.06) 5-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 1% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.68% Total : 52.07% | 1-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.74% Total : 20.19% | 1-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.04) 3-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 27.73% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: