SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 56.25%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 24.33% and a draw had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.86%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Under-21s | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
56.25% ( 0.02) | 19.43% ( 0) | 24.33% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 70.99% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.63% ( -0.02) | 25.37% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.6% ( -0.02) | 45.4% ( 0.02) |
| Manchester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.62% ( -0) | 9.38% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.41% ( -0.01) | 31.59% ( 0.01) |
| Aston Villa Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.35% ( -0.02) | 21.65% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.22% ( -0.03) | 54.78% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Under-21s | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.86% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.69% ( 0)3-2 @ 5.25% ( -0)1-0 @ 4.81% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.49% ( 0)4-1 @ 4.06% 4-2 @ 3.11% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.65% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.92% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.58% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.47% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 4.39% Total : 56.25% | 1-1 @ 7.36% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.68% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.03% ( 0)Other @ 0.7% Total : 19.43% | 1-2 @ 5.63% 2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0)0-1 @ 3.11% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.87% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.38% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0)3-4 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.31% Total : 24.33% |
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