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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers Under-21s win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.61%) and 3-2 (5.2%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Blackburn Rovers Under-21s | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
45.53% ( 1.56) | 20.49% ( -0.15) | 33.98% ( -1.42) |
| Both teams to score 74.51% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.25% ( 0.31) | 23.74% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 56.74% ( 0.41) | 43.26% ( -0.42) |
| Blackburn Rovers Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.37% ( 0.59) | 11.62% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.36% ( 1.26) | 36.63% ( -1.26) |
| Aston Villa Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.3% ( -0.45) | 15.69% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.24% ( -0.83) | 44.75% ( 0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Blackburn Rovers Under-21s | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.11)1-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.17)4-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.11)4-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.11)5-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.1)5-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.08)Other @ 4.04% Total : 45.53% | 1-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.94% Total : 20.49% | 1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 4.47% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 4.16% ( -0.19)0-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.17)2-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.12)3-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)Other @ 4.71% Total : 33.98% |
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