Trabzonspor were uncharacteristically out of their depth last time out but we expect them to bounce back in front of their home fans this weekend. However, this will by no means be a walk in the park for the hosts, as they are coming up against a Karagumruk side who are fighting for their top-flight status and have looked solid in recent weeks. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 62.33%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 16.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 0-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Trabzonspor would win this match.

Result
Trabzonspor	Draw	Fatih Karagumruk
62.33% ( 0)	20.77% ( -0)	16.9% ( -0)

Both teams to score 53.22% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.13% (

42.87% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.73% (

65.27% (

-0)

Trabzonspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.81%

13.18% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.1% (

39.9% (

-0.01)

Fatih Karagumruk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.3% (

-0)

38.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.56% (

-0)

75.43%

Score Analysis

Trabzonspor 62.32%

Fatih Karagumruk 16.9%

Draw 20.77%

Trabzonspor	Draw	Fatih Karagumruk
2-0 @ 10.47% 1-0 @ 10.33% 2-1 @ 9.94% 3-0 @ 7.07% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.72% 4-0 @ 3.58% 4-1 @ 3.4% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.19% 4-2 @ 1.62% 5-0 @ 1.45% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.17% Total : 62.32%	1-1 @ 9.81% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.1% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.72% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.77%	0-1 @ 4.84% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.66% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 1.49% 1-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.12% Total : 16.9%