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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 27
Feb 25, 2024 at 1pm UK
Vefa Stadi
A

Karagumruk
1 - 1
Alanyaspor

Eysseric (24')
Lasagna (65'), Mercan (90+3'), Kourbelis (90+6')
Mendes (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mahgoub (90+5' pen.)
Lima (49'), Hadergjonaj (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kasimpasa 1-1 Karagumruk
Friday, February 16 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Alanyaspor 3-3 Adana Demirspor
Sunday, February 18 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fatih Karagumruk 1-1 Alanyaspor

Alanyaspor have dominated this fixture in recent years and will look to extend the run over their hosts. However, while we think the visitors are capable of doing this, we are predicting the game to end in a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 55.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 22.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for an Alanyaspor win it was 1-2 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawAlanyaspor
55.05% (-0.45800000000001 -0.46) 22.74% (0.185 0.18) 22.21% (0.276 0.28)
Both teams to score 55.84% (-0.235 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.16% (-0.494 -0.49)43.84% (0.496 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.77% (-0.485 -0.48)66.23% (0.486 0.49)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.19% (-0.32600000000001 -0.33)15.81% (0.328 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.03% (-0.609 -0.61)44.97% (0.61 0.61)
Alanyaspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.32% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)33.68% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.67% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)70.33% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 55.05%
    Alanyaspor 22.21%
    Draw 22.73%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawAlanyaspor
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.82% (0.102 0.1)
2-0 @ 9.06% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.06% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-0 @ 5.57% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.8% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.57% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.52% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.037 -0.04)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 55.05%
1-1 @ 10.68% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.32% (0.114 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.73%
1-2 @ 5.82% (0.053 0.05)
0-1 @ 5.8% (0.121 0.12)
0-2 @ 3.15% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.11% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.14% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 22.21%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Kasimpasa 1-1 Karagumruk
Friday, February 16 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 2-0 Pendikspor
Saturday, February 10 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Hatayspor 3-1 Karagumruk
Friday, February 2 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 4-0 Caykur Rizespor
Sunday, January 28 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Ankaragucu 2-0 Karagumruk
Wednesday, January 24 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 1-1 Istanbul
Saturday, January 20 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Alanyaspor 3-3 Adana Demirspor
Sunday, February 18 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Fenerbahce 2-2 Alanyaspor
Sunday, February 11 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kasimpasa 2-1 Alanyaspor
Sunday, February 4 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Alanyaspor 1-1 Pendikspor
Saturday, January 27 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Hatayspor 1-1 Alanyaspor
Tuesday, January 23 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Alanyaspor 2-1 Caykur Rizespor
Saturday, January 20 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig


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