SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hatayspor | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
48.88% ( 0.06) | 24.52% ( -0.02) | 26.59% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 54.81% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.52% ( 0.05) | 47.48% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.31% ( 0.04) | 69.69% ( -0.04) |
| Hatayspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.53% ( 0.04) | 19.47% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.66% ( 0.07) | 51.33% ( -0.07) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.06% ( -0.01) | 31.94% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.61% ( -0.01) | 68.39% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hatayspor | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
| 1-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 3.02% Total : 48.88% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.52% | 0-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.06% 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 26.59% |
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