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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 26
Feb 16, 2024 at 5pm UK
Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu

Kasimpasa
1 - 1
Karagumruk

da Costa (11')
Porozo (69'), da Costa (71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Eysseric (38')
Mor (70'), Mor (78'), Mendes (84')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Adana Demirspor 1-3 Kasimpasa
Friday, February 9 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 2-0 Pendikspor
Saturday, February 10 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Kasimpasa 2-1 Fatih Karagumruk

Karagumruk are poor on the road, which makes this a straightforward prediction given how well Kasimpasa are playing right now. The hosts have rediscovered the form that put them in European conversations in the first half of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
KasimpasaDrawFatih Karagumruk
49.5% (0.0039999999999978 0) 24.05% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 26.45% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.24% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.47% (0.039000000000001 0.04)45.53% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.14% (0.036000000000001 0.04)67.86% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.53% (0.01700000000001 0.02)18.47% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.33% (0.028000000000006 0.03)49.66% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.98% (0.02600000000001 0.03)31.01% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.67% (0.030999999999999 0.03)67.32% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Kasimpasa 49.5%
    Fatih Karagumruk 26.45%
    Draw 24.04%
KasimpasaDrawFatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 9.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.57%
2-0 @ 8.17% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.6%
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 49.5%
1-1 @ 11.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.04%
0-1 @ 6.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.59% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.53% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 26.45%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Adana Demirspor 1-3 Kasimpasa
Friday, February 9 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kasimpasa 2-1 Alanyaspor
Sunday, February 4 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Trabzonspor 2-3 Kasimpasa
Monday, January 29 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Pendikspor 3-2 Kasimpasa
Tuesday, January 23 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kasimpasa 3-0 Hatayspor
Saturday, January 20 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Ankaragucu 3-1 Kasimpasa
Saturday, January 13 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 2-0 Pendikspor
Saturday, February 10 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Hatayspor 3-1 Karagumruk
Friday, February 2 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 4-0 Caykur Rizespor
Sunday, January 28 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Ankaragucu 2-0 Karagumruk
Wednesday, January 24 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 1-1 Istanbul
Saturday, January 20 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Besiktas 3-0 Karagumruk
Saturday, January 13 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig


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