Karagumruk are poor on the road, which makes this a straightforward prediction given how well Kasimpasa are playing right now. The hosts have rediscovered the form that put them in European conversations in the first half of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Kasimpasa	Draw	Fatih Karagumruk
49.5% ( 0)	24.05% ( -0.01)	26.45% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 56.24% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.47% (

0.04)

45.53% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.14% (

0.04)

67.86% (

-0.03)

Kasimpasa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.53% (

0.02)

18.47% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.33% (

0.03)

49.66% (

-0.02)

Fatih Karagumruk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.98% (

0.03)

31.01% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.67% (

0.03)

67.32% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Kasimpasa 49.5%

Fatih Karagumruk 26.45%

Draw 24.04%

Kasimpasa	Draw	Fatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 9.68% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.57% 2-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.6% 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.94% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 3.39% Total : 49.5%	1-1 @ 11.32% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.04%	0-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.63% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.93% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 26.45%