SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 52.58%. A win for Rosenborg had a probability of 25.39% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Rosenborg win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tromso IL would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tromso IL | Draw | Rosenborg |
52.58% ( 0.03) | 22.03% | 25.39% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 62.24% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.85% ( -0.02) | 37.15% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.65% ( -0.02) | 59.35% ( 0.02) |
| Tromso IL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.71% ( 0) | 14.3% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.9% ( 0.01) | 42.1% ( -0) |
| Rosenborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.62% ( -0.03) | 27.39% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.15% ( -0.03) | 62.86% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tromso IL | Draw | Rosenborg |
| 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.22% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.8% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.03% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.03% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.34% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.96% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 3.51% Total : 52.58% | 1-1 @ 9.86% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.92% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0)Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.03% | 1-2 @ 6.39% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.07% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.28% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0)Other @ 3.79% Total : 25.39% |
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