SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tromso IL win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 36.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tromso IL win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.26%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tromso IL | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
39.58% ( -0.44) | 23.94% ( -0.18) | 36.48% ( 0.62) |
| Both teams to score 61.63% ( 0.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.37% ( 0.96) | 40.63% ( -0.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.99% ( 0.98) | 63.01% ( -0.98) |
| Tromso IL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.27% ( 0.21) | 20.72% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.66% ( 0.33) | 53.34% ( -0.33) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.74% ( 0.76) | 22.25% ( -0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.3% ( 1.13) | 55.69% ( -1.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tromso IL | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
| 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.28)2-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 3% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.86% Total : 39.58% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.21)3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.93% | 1-2 @ 8.2% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.47% Total : 36.48% |
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