SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viking FK win with a probability of 59.82%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 20.72% and a draw had a probability of 19.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viking FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.21%) and 3-1 (7.2%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 1-2 (5.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Viking FK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Viking FK | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
59.82% ( -0.35) | 19.46% ( 0.2) | 20.72% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 65.52% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.8% ( -0.8) | 30.2% ( 0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.57% ( -0.96) | 51.43% ( 0.96) |
| Viking FK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.99% ( -0.32) | 10% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.96% ( -0.74) | 33.04% ( 0.74) |
| Sarpsborg 08 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.8% ( -0.35) | 27.19% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.39% ( -0.45) | 62.6% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Viking FK | Draw | Sarpsborg 08 |
| 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.05)1-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.06)4-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.72% Total : 59.82% | 1-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.43% Total : 19.46% | 1-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0)0-3 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.6% Total : 20.72% |
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