SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 47.18%. A win for Truro City had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Truro City win was 1-0 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Truro City | Draw | Chelmsford City |
27.61% ( 0.01) | 25.2% ( 0.01) | 47.18% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.44% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.34% ( -0.03) | 49.66% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.32% ( -0.03) | 71.68% ( 0.03) |
| Truro City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.71% ( -0.01) | 32.29% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.21% ( -0.01) | 68.79% ( 0.01) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.93% ( -0.03) | 21.07% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.12% ( -0.04) | 53.88% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Truro City | Draw | Chelmsford City |
| 1-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.77% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.35% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 27.61% | 1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.33% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.25% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.84% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.28% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.89% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.67% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 47.18% |
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