SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Truro City win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Dartford had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Truro City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Dartford win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Truro City | Draw | Dartford |
46.74% ( 0.18) | 24.02% ( -0.02) | 29.24% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 58.52% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.49% ( -0.02) | 43.51% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.09% ( -0.02) | 65.9% ( 0.02) |
| Truro City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.22% ( 0.06) | 18.78% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.81% ( 0.11) | 50.19% ( -0.11) |
| Dartford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.05% ( -0.12) | 27.94% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.43% ( -0.15) | 63.57% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Truro City | Draw | Dartford |
| 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.33% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 3.36% Total : 46.74% | 1-1 @ 11.19% 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.02% | 1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.8% Total : 29.24% |
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