SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Namibia | 3 | -3 | 4 |
| 4 | Tunisia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 48.23%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Gambia had a probability of 23.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Gambia win it was 0-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tunisia | Draw | Gambia |
48.23% ( -0.03) | 28.59% ( 0.23) | 23.18% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 40.5% ( -0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.49% ( -0.82) | 64.51% ( 0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.46% ( -0.58) | 83.54% ( 0.58) |
| Tunisia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.91% ( -0.4) | 27.08% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.54% ( -0.53) | 62.46% ( 0.53) |
| Gambia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.54% ( -0.68) | 44.46% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.5% ( -0.56) | 80.5% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tunisia | Draw | Gambia |
| 1-0 @ 15.72% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.69% Total : 48.22% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.04% ( 0.36)2-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.42% Total : 28.59% | 0-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.91% Total : 23.18% |
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