SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 49.43%. A win for Gent had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Gent win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Gent |
49.43% ( -0.24) | 22.98% ( 0.05) | 27.59% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 60.94% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.23% ( -0.12) | 39.77% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.87% ( -0.12) | 62.13% ( 0.12) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.68% ( -0.13) | 16.32% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.1% ( -0.23) | 45.9% ( 0.24) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.83% ( 0.07) | 27.17% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.42% ( 0.09) | 62.58% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union SG | Draw | Gent |
| 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.5% Total : 49.43% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.98% | 1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.98% Total : 27.59% |
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