SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 35.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Union SG win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Genk | Draw | Union SG |
39.44% ( 2.54) | 25.07% ( 0.06) | 35.48% ( -2.6) |
| Both teams to score 57.35% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.87% ( -0.41) | 46.12% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.57% ( -0.39) | 68.42% ( 0.39) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.8% ( 1.14) | 23.2% ( -1.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.91% ( 1.65) | 57.09% ( -1.65) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.67% ( -1.61) | 25.32% ( 1.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.89% ( -2.27) | 60.1% ( 2.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Genk | Draw | Union SG |
| 2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.32) 1-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.43)2-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.51)3-1 @ 4.2% ( 0.29)3-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.34)3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.16)4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.14% Total : 39.44% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.07% | 1-2 @ 8.1% ( -0.35) 0-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.24)0-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.44)1-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.35)2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.33)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.19)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.63% Total : 35.48% |
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