SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Union SG win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Fenerbahce |
34.02% ( 0.03) | 25.22% ( 0.02) | 40.76% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.55% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.96% ( -0.07) | 47.04% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.72% ( -0.06) | 69.28% ( 0.07) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.38% ( -0.01) | 26.61% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.16% ( -0.02) | 61.84% ( 0.02) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.06% ( -0.05) | 22.94% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.29% ( -0.08) | 56.71% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union SG | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 1-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.47% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.36% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.17% Total : 34.02% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.76% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.62% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.3% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.2% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.17% Total : 40.76% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
