SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Gent had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Gent win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Gent |
42.15% ( 0.14) | 26.39% ( 0.37) | 31.45% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 51.87% ( -1.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.28% ( -1.67) | 52.71% ( 1.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.64% ( -1.44) | 74.35% ( 1.44) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.25% ( -0.67) | 24.75% ( 0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.69% ( -0.94) | 59.3% ( 0.94) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.93% ( -1.19) | 31.07% ( 1.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.61% ( -1.41) | 67.39% ( 1.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union SG | Draw | Gent |
| 1-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 42.15% | 1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.49)2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.2)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 5.25% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2% ( -0.15)Other @ 2.97% Total : 31.45% |
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