SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Urawa Red Diamonds in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Urawa Red Diamonds.
| Result | ||
| Urawa Red Diamonds | Draw | Kashiwa Reysol |
39.22% ( -0.38) | 26.02% ( -0.25) | 34.76% ( 0.63) |
| Both teams to score 54% ( 0.93) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.61% ( 1.14) | 50.39% ( -1.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.67% ( 1) | 72.32% ( -1) |
| Urawa Red Diamonds Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.77% ( 0.31) | 25.23% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.02% ( 0.43) | 59.97% ( -0.43) |
| Kashiwa Reysol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.22% ( 0.94) | 27.77% ( -0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.64% ( 1.19) | 63.35% ( -1.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Urawa Red Diamonds | Draw | Kashiwa Reysol |
| 1-0 @ 9.65% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.55% Total : 39.22% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.33)2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.01% | 0-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.14)0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.87% Total : 34.76% |
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