Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 48.13%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 26.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.
