SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 38 | 14 | 66 |
| 6 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 38 | 9 | 63 |
| 7 | Sagan Tosu | 38 | 8 | 59 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 38 | -17 | 42 |
| 15 | Kashiwa Reysol | 38 | -19 | 41 |
| 16 | Shonan Bellmare | 38 | -7 | 37 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 59.72%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 18.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Kashiwa Reysol win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Urawa Red Diamonds would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Urawa Red Diamonds | Draw | Kashiwa Reysol |
59.72% ( -0.58) | 22.19% ( 0.18) | 18.1% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 51.01% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.98% ( -0.15) | 47.02% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.73% ( -0.14) | 69.26% ( 0.14) |
| Urawa Red Diamonds Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.65% ( -0.24) | 15.35% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.89% ( -0.45) | 44.11% ( 0.45) |
| Kashiwa Reysol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.25% ( 0.37) | 39.75% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.58% ( 0.34) | 76.42% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Urawa Red Diamonds | Draw | Kashiwa Reysol |
| 1-0 @ 11.43% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.71% ( -0.11)2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.34% Total : 59.71% | 1-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.98% Total : 22.18% | 0-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.1% Total : 18.1% |
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