Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paksi SE win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Varda SE had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paksi SE win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Varda SE win was 1-0 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Paksi SE in this match.