SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varnamo win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varnamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Sirius win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Varnamo | Draw | Sirius |
41.36% ( 0.11) | 24.94% ( 0.02) | 33.71% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 57.46% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.18% ( -0.14) | 45.82% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.87% ( -0.13) | 68.14% ( 0.13) |
| Varnamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.88% ( -0) | 22.12% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.51% ( -0.01) | 55.49% ( 0.01) |
| Sirius Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.78% ( -0.14) | 26.22% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.69% ( -0.19) | 61.32% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Varnamo | Draw | Sirius |
| 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.44% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 41.36% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.93% | 1-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.28% Total : 33.71% |
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