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Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Jul 28, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Jose Amalfitani
DY

Velez Sarsfield
0 - 0
Defensa


Centurion (37'), Andres Romero (52'), Caseres (78')
FT

Paredes (22'), Rotondi (39')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Velez Sarsfield and Defensa y Justicia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 53.18%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 22.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Velez SarsfieldDrawDefensa y Justicia
53.18%24.04%22.78%
Both teams to score 52.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.17%48.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.07%70.93%
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.7%18.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.62%49.38%
Defensa y Justicia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.07%35.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.3%72.7%
Score Analysis
    Velez Sarsfield 53.17%
    Defensa y Justicia 22.78%
    Draw 24.04%
Velez SarsfieldDrawDefensa y Justicia
1-0 @ 11.16%
2-1 @ 9.71%
2-0 @ 9.48%
3-1 @ 5.49%
3-0 @ 5.37%
3-2 @ 2.81%
4-1 @ 2.33%
4-0 @ 2.28%
4-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 53.17%
1-1 @ 11.43%
0-0 @ 6.57%
2-2 @ 4.97%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.04%
0-1 @ 6.73%
1-2 @ 5.85%
0-2 @ 3.45%
1-3 @ 2%
2-3 @ 1.7%
0-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 22.78%

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