Velez Sarsfield
2 - 1
Union La Calera

Tarragona (2'), Almada (39')
Bouzat (72'), Poblete (90+4')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Vargas (5')
Castellani (35'), Cavalleri (37'), Martinez (61'), Wiemberg (73'), Laba (83')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Velez Sarsfield and Union La Calera, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 51.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Union La Calera had a probability of 24.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Union La Calera win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.

Result
Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Union La Calera
51.17%	24.62%	24.21%

Both teams to score 52.2%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.18%

49.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.18%

71.82%

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.53%

19.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.68%

51.32%

Union La Calera Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.82%

35.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.07%

71.93%

Score Analysis

Velez Sarsfield 51.16%

Union La Calera 24.21%

Draw 24.61%

Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Union La Calera
1-0 @ 11.2% 2-1 @ 9.58% 2-0 @ 9.17% 3-1 @ 5.23% 3-0 @ 5% 3-2 @ 2.73% 4-1 @ 2.14% 4-0 @ 2.05% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.96% Total : 51.16%	1-1 @ 11.7% 0-0 @ 6.85% 2-2 @ 5.01% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.61%	0-1 @ 7.15% 1-2 @ 6.12% 0-2 @ 3.74% 1-3 @ 2.13% 2-3 @ 1.74% 0-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.03% Total : 24.21%