Although Palermo came through their home fixture without anything to show from it, they have scored enough goals this season to suggest that they are not out of this tie. Nevertheless, we expect Venezia to showcase why they finished 14 points clear of their opponents in the regular season with another hard-earned win.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 48.31%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Palermo win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Venezia in this match.
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