Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 46.86%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Venezia win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
0.08) 
-0.03) 
