Only two of 17 previous Serie A meetings between these clubs have ended in a draw: as Verona are much harder to beat at the Bentegodi than away from home, they can prolong that trend and pull three points clear of ailing Sassuolo.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hellas Verona in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hellas Verona.
-0.53) 
0.18) 
