SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | Sassuolo |
46.54% ( -0.05) | 23.56% ( -0.01) | 29.9% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 60.58% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.02% ( 0.09) | 40.98% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.63% ( 0.09) | 63.37% ( -0.09) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.13% ( 0.02) | 17.87% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.36% ( 0.03) | 48.64% ( -0.03) |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.77% ( 0.08) | 26.23% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.66% ( 0.11) | 61.33% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monza | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.3% 4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0)Other @ 3.76% Total : 46.54% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.56% | 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.2% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 29.9% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
