Verona's hand has surely been weakened by events in the transfer window, while Napoli have several men back at their disposal this weekend. As a result, the ailing champions can take maximum points on home soil and push their visitors further down into danger.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 67.15%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 13.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
0.01) 
-0.04) 
