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Serie A | Gameweek 1
Aug 21, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona
SL

Hellas Verona
2 - 3
Sassuolo

Zaccagni (71' pen., 90')
Veloso (35'), Di Carmine (75')
Veloso (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Raspadori (32'), Duricic (51'), Traore (77')
Lopez (23'), Duricic (79')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.95%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.

Result
Hellas VeronaDrawSassuolo
33.84%24.21%41.95%
Both teams to score 60.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.59%42.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.19%64.8%
Hellas Verona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.48%24.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.02%58.98%
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.61%20.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.19%52.8%
Score Analysis
    Hellas Verona 33.84%
    Sassuolo 41.95%
    Draw 24.2%
Hellas VeronaDrawSassuolo
2-1 @ 7.85%
1-0 @ 7.03%
2-0 @ 4.94%
3-1 @ 3.68%
3-2 @ 2.93%
3-0 @ 2.31%
4-1 @ 1.29%
4-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 33.84%
1-1 @ 11.17%
2-2 @ 6.25%
0-0 @ 5%
3-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.2%
1-2 @ 8.89%
0-1 @ 7.95%
0-2 @ 6.32%
1-3 @ 4.71%
0-3 @ 3.35%
2-3 @ 3.31%
1-4 @ 1.87%
0-4 @ 1.33%
2-4 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 41.95%

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